Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000465 0.000519 0.000579 0.000651 0.000736 0.000832 0.000952
2024-12-29 0.000383 0.000457 0.000545 0.000662 0.000815 0.001013 0.001293
2025-01-05 0.000334 0.000416 0.000523 0.000674 0.000891 0.001199 0.001694
2025-01-12 0.000291 0.000376 0.000490 0.000662 0.000925 0.001331 0.002057
2025-01-19 0.000270 0.000358 0.000484 0.000683 0.001008 0.001554 0.002644
2025-01-26 0.000240 0.000325 0.000450 0.000654 0.001005 0.001632 0.002996
2025-02-02 0.000223 0.000309 0.000438 0.000659 0.001056 0.001819 0.003651
2025-02-09 0.000212 0.000300 0.000436 0.000677 0.001135 0.002080 0.004617
2025-02-16 0.000202 0.000291 0.000432 0.000691 0.001209 0.002353 0.005794
2025-02-23 0.000195 0.000286 0.000434 0.000717 0.001311 0.002725 0.007567
2025-03-02 0.000186 0.000276 0.000427 0.000723 0.001373 0.003024 0.009385
2025-03-09 0.000174 0.000262 0.000411 0.000710 0.001387 0.003202 0.010927
2025-03-16 0.000165 0.000252 0.000402 0.000713 0.001447 0.003554 0.013868
2025-03-23 0.000158 0.000244 0.000397 0.000722 0.001528 0.004022 0.018420
2025-03-30 0.000152 0.000238 0.000393 0.000735 0.001622 0.004596 0.025324
2025-04-06 0.000143 0.000226 0.000379 0.000721 0.001639 0.004904 0.031302
2025-04-13 0.000139 0.000223 0.000380 0.000744 0.001771 0.005772 0.047467
2025-04-20 0.000130 0.000209 0.000360 0.000712 0.001727 0.005846 0.054221
2025-04-27 0.000125 0.000204 0.000355 0.000717 0.001803 0.006553 0.077948
2025-05-04 0.000122 0.000201 0.000356 0.000738 0.001937 0.007703 0.130846
2025-05-11 0.000119 0.000198 0.000355 0.000754 0.002061 0.008964 0.230202
2025-05-18 0.000117 0.000197 0.000359 0.000782 0.002245 0.010889 0.520899
2025-05-25 0.000114 0.000193 0.000356 0.000789 0.002349 0.012429 1.115811